California’s numbers (as a state) are actually increasing
That’s manipulative numbers. When you actually look at the real numbers; and by that, I mean positive cases per 100,000 tests, it’s not the case.
When you are increasing the number of tests roughly 4% per day, you’re going to have an increase in cases. And if that number is only 2% increase of positive cases with a 4% increase of tests (both of which are the case), that is not an increase. It’s as disingenuous as having 50% less tests and saying our numbers are dropping.
Now- I’m not saying that’s perfect math, because when we didn’t have a surplus of testing, we were only testing serious cases. We are testing many less serious ones now, so will have lower confirmed cases per 100k as well. Unfortunately, we didn’t have the testing we do today and beyond. But it is what it is; and running 14 day totals per 100k will paint the most accurate picture.
Again, to all: I implore you to not take anyone’s word for anything and just look at raw data numbers for your local county and state. Here is The Atlantic’s and Wikipedia’s volunteer based tracking that is by a mile the best resource with no bias:
The COVID Tracking Project collects and publishes the most complete testing data available for US states and territories.
covidtracking.com
I'm just confused on what makes it safer in say 2 months than now?
Nothing
I get the whole lets not overrun hospitals but to my knowledge even in New York they managed.
Because the goal posts keep moving and people act shocked when people are tired of being told different things.
Overwhelming the hospitals is the reason.
And the curve that matters is the hospitalization number. Not the number infected. Not the number of tests. The only curve that truly matters is hospitalization.
Here is California’s raw data.
And if you want LA Counties, specifically, you’ll need to click on theirs; it will show similar numbers.
People- trust your gut and analyze this stuff for yourself. Don’t read opinion pieces and instead, simply look at the data. Don’t insult your intelligence; you’re smarter than the media and politicians think you are. Look at the numbers and make a decision based on what you see in your particular area and based on what your particular situation is.
So “Your best bet” is:
If that means shelter in place is what’s best for you based on your community, health and age; then do shelter in place. Don’t feel one bit of guilt because someone is projecting and telling you what you should be doing.
If that means going back to work or eating at a restaurant is best based on your community, health and age; then go do that. Don’t feel one bit of guilt because someone is projecting and telling you what you should be doing.