Your key line here is, "I don't think marketing realizes". That statement alone is enough to make me think there will not be an icon this year. Also, it was hinted at from the beginning, but we have not heard a whisper about it since, which is not promising. That and the fact that everything SEEMS to have changed since what was hinted at from the get go (TWD, anyone?).
That being said, I would LIKE an icon, but I am not EXPECTING an icon.